Beschreibung

This book provides a systematic introduction to the fundamental methods and techniques and the frontiers of — along with many new ideas and results on — infectious disease modeling, parameter estimation and transmission dynamics. It provides complementary approaches, from deterministic to statistical to network modeling; and it seeks viewpoints of the same issues from different angles, from mathematical modeling to statistical analysis to computer simulations and finally to concrete applications.Sample Chapter(s)Chapter 1: Some Recent Results on Epidemic Dynamics Obtained by Our Group (1,152 KB)Contents: Some Recent Results on Epidemic Dynamics (Z Ma)Modeling SARS, West Nile Virus, Pandemic Influenza and Other Emerging Infectious Diseases: A Canadian Team's Adventure (F Brauer & J Wu)Diseases in Metapopulations (J Arino)Modeling the Start of a Disease Outbreak (F Brauer)Mathematical Techniques in the Evolutionary Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases (T Day)The Uses of Epidemiological Models in the Study of Disease Control (Z-L Feng et al.)Assessing the Burden of Congenital Rubella Syndrome and Ensuring Optimal Mitigation via Mathematical Modeling (J W Glasser & M Birmingham)Persistence of Vertically Transmitted Parasite Strains Which Protect Against More Virulent Horizontally Transmitted Strains (T Dhirasakdanon & H R Thieme)Richards Model: A Simple Procedure for Real-Time Prediction of Outbreak Severity (Y-H Hsieh)The Basic Reproduction Number and the Final Size of an Epidemic (J Watmough)Epidemic Models with Reservoirs (K P Hadeler)Global Stability in Multigroup Epidemic Models (H-B Guo et al.)Epidemic Models with Time Delays (W-D Wang)A Simulation Approach to Analysis of Antiviral Stockpile Sizes for Infuenza Pandemic (S-H Zhang)Modeling and Simulation Studies of West Nile Virus in Southern Ontario, Canada (H-P Zhu)Readership: Advanced undergraduate and, graduate students in applied mathematics; non-experts who are interested in modeling infectious disease transmission and public health problems.

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